Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 8.106864 9.487746 11.000578 12.776688 14.800255 17.029315 19.665836
2026-01-11 5.774818 7.628663 9.876474 12.781481 16.412896 20.777125 26.390809
2026-01-18 4.426104 6.448427 9.106915 12.809384 17.775976 24.144528 32.853523
2026-01-25 3.426152 5.438411 8.275151 12.484627 18.473092 26.570548 38.204361
2026-02-01 2.718112 4.663303 7.582800 12.164372 19.023264 28.728595 43.266683
2026-02-08 2.143957 3.961310 6.855043 11.638584 19.142521 30.206010 47.409290
2026-02-15 1.731484 3.431131 6.291136 11.251002 19.369463 31.789526 51.755416
2026-02-22 1.527673 3.216835 6.197416 11.581050 20.713307 35.120005 58.923159
2026-03-01 1.360477 3.035006 6.124957 11.921813 22.084121 38.572357 66.501182
2026-03-08 1.126289 2.676455 5.679171 11.546263 22.197729 39.998353 70.945223
2026-03-15 0.948018 2.394544 5.329652 11.289646 22.469996 41.674731 75.873726
2026-03-22 0.877365 2.329825 5.390409 11.800877 24.144913 45.815216 85.141572
2026-03-29 0.781035 2.200122 5.325418 12.110797 25.575281 49.806991 94.735370
2026-04-05 0.671697 2.018184 5.128807 12.147183 26.525211 53.086770 103.453473
2026-04-12 0.578953 1.854723 4.943986 12.180211 27.467578 56.425121 112.521051
2026-04-19 0.480178 1.648372 4.622762 11.870780 27.683312 58.423726 119.299701
2026-04-26 0.398620 1.466616 4.324714 11.564676 27.860798 60.344719 126.045930
2026-05-03 0.322123 1.276020 3.966257 11.061860 27.556171 61.289119 130.998495
2026-05-10 0.264471 1.126148 3.682732 10.691263 27.488075 62.677636 136.871988
2026-05-17 0.240063 1.081440 3.677389 11.006852 28.983787 67.335350 149.422086
2026-05-24 0.218633 1.040929 3.676491 11.332737 30.532231 72.206981 162.690151
2026-05-31 0.180620 0.924404 3.428633 10.973587 30.434879 73.611795 169.056354
2026-06-07 0.151538 0.832071 3.234438 10.728214 30.578744 75.531888 176.583836